I am a Regulated Investment Analyst in Brazil (CNPI-T), with five years of experience and an MBA in Macroeconomics & Portfolio Management. I am here to help as many people as possible and deliver strong arguments for investment cases. My curiosity about how one event in the markets can ripple through and affect many others led me to study macroeconomics, and now it is my investment philosophy. Momentum first, quality next. I follow a Top-Down / Bottom-Up approach. Where I use statistical analysis on macroeconomic data to identify the best performing economies around the globe. Then a Bottom-up approach to evaluate, from the company’s perspective, how the current market conditions would be beneficial for them. Starting from a country whose currency would likely appreciate, with the current market sentiment and conditions. Next, I identify the most promising sectors and forecast which ones are likely to outperform over a two to six months period. Then I look for quality. Companies with consistent results and showing good overall momentum. With some stocks selected, I evaluate their competitive advantages against one another, then I look for their financials, to confirm what I was expecting and perform a valuation of the business, after removing the non-recurring items.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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